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May 11, 2015

U.S. Health Care Reform

Editor’s note: This article was published under our former name, Open Philanthropy. Some content may be outdated. You can see our latest writing here.

This is a writeup of a shallow investigation, a brief look at an area that we use to decide how to prioritize further research.

In a nutshell

What is the problem?

The United States spends trillions of dollars on health care each year. A significant part of this spending appears to be wasted due to inefficiencies and misaligned incentives. Some policy changes could plausibly reduce these inefficiencies, causing significant fiscal and humanitarian improvements.

What are possible interventions?

Many existing efforts aim to improve the overall cost-effectiveness of the health care system. Using alternatives to fee-for-service payment, bundling payment for common types of care, or more transparent pricing, amongst other approaches, could reduce the amount spent on health care while holding constant or improving quality of care. Some other policy proposals that also might reduce costs, such as relaxing scope-of-practice laws to give nurse practitioners more autonomy or easing restrictions on immigrant doctors, don’t appear to be at the center of the broader discussion of cost and quality. A funder could potentially support a variety of different kinds of research or advocacy to advance these policy changes.

Who else is working on it?

Health care policy and access is an area of interest of a number of large foundations. Major foundations that work in this area include the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, the Kaiser Family Foundation and the Commonwealth Fund. We’re hoping to investigate some of the subfields listed above more deeply to get a better sense of the overall “crowdedness” of the field.

What is the problem?

We find it helpful to break down current issues within US health care into three subcategories:[1]This subdivision of issues was suggested by David Cutler in a conversation with the Open Philanthropy Project. GiveWell’s non-verbatim summary of a conversation with David Cutler on October 17, 2014

  • Public health: Well-known issues such as obesity, smoking, alcohol and violence pose significant public health concerns, as do less discussed issues such as accidental drug deaths.
  • Increasing access to care: The 2010 Affordable Care Act attempts to expand health insurance coverage to more Americans, but there is lots of uncertainty and room for experimentation around how best to achieve this, as well as room for further potential expansion.
  • Improving the trade-off between cost and quality of care: The US spends significantly more on health care than other developed economies, but this excess spending does not appear to increase quality of care.

This investigation was primarily concerned with the third point, improving the trade-off between cost and quality.

The US spends more on health care than any other industrialized nation, both as a percentage of GDP and on a per capita basis. Total health care spending in 2012 was $2.6 trillion according to the OECD,[2]Total spending figures from: Total healthcare expenditure, OECD StatExtracts which represents 16.9% of GDP (significantly higher than the OECD average, 9.3% of GDP).[3]% GDP figures from Frequently requested data, OECD Health Statistics 2014 There seems to be consensus among experts that this higher level of spending does not correspond to better care.[4]“Nearly everyone thinks that the U.S. spends more on health care than it should and that this excess spending does not contribute to increased quality of care.” GiveWell’s non-verbatim summary of a conversation with David Cutler on October 17, 2014 “This increased dedication of economic … Continue reading

Misaligned incentives for health care providers, payers and consumers appear to be responsible for a large part of this discrepancy between cost and quality. We found broad agreement that the combination of fee-for-service payment arrangements, limited price transparency, and insurance that limits patient incentives to save costs (all of which are widespread in the US) incentivize health care providers to increase the volume of tests and services provided to patients, regardless of whether these tests and services will improve outcomes.[5]“Reimbursement under the fee-for-service (FFS) model generates a strong incentive to perform a high volume of tests and services, regardless of whether those services improve quality or contribute to a broader effort to manage care.” Bipartisan Policy Center 2012, Pg 8. “Fee-for-service, the … Continue reading

While these are by no means the only source of inefficiency in American health care, they seem to account for many of the commonly cited problems in the system. However, many different diagnoses of the “root causes” of America’s high health care costs have been offered, and we do not have a strong sense of which are most accurate or most “fundamentally” correct.[6]Examples of other ways to break down the important factors behind the high cost/quality ratio: Reinhardt, Hussey and Anderson 2004, Pg 12-15: “Factors Driving High U.S. Health Spending GDP per capita… Distribution of market power and prices… The capacity of health systems… Administrative … Continue reading

What are possible interventions?

Our impression is that health care reform in general is a large and crowded field, with many different players and a high level of funding. Much of this funding appears to be directed towards changing incentive structures so that health care is delivered more cost-effectively. Examples of efforts to shift incentives include:

  • The formation of Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs), which was made possible by the Affordable Care Act.[7]“One of the main ways the Affordable Care Act seeks to reduce health care costs is by encouraging doctors, hospitals and other health care providers to form networks which coordinate patient care and become eligible for bonuses when they deliver that care more efficiently. The law takes a … Continue reading These are groups of health care providers (typically physicians and hospitals) which pool responsibility for the financial and medical outcomes of their patients. Where they are able to produce good outcomes at lower cost, they share in some of the financial savings.[8]“In concept, an ACO is a shared savings arrangement under which a set of healthcare providers—principally physicians and hospitals—assume some financial risk for the cost and quality of care delivered to a defined population of patients. If, collectively, an ACO’s participating providers … Continue reading
  • “Bundling” payments for certain types of treatment. The idea behind bundling is that aggregating the expenses for a single episode of care (for example, a joint replacement) or a certain period of time should incentivize providers to reduce the cost of care and standardize practices for similar procedures.[9]“The philosophy behind much current policy — including the Affordable Care Act (ACA) — is that aggregating fee-for-service reimbursement into payments for broader bundles of care will lead to greater efficiency in the provision of care and thus lower costs.” and “In summary, our results … Continue reading Bundling by episode has been the subject of a successful pilot by Medicare, and the ACO model is based around bundling a set of patients together across a given time frame.[10]“Medicare made bundled payments to hospitals and physicians to cover all services connected with heart bypass surgeries, and Medicare spending for those services declined by about 10 percent… Bundled-payment arrangements are generally viewed as arrangements in which a single payment from an … Continue reading
  • Promoting price transparency. Limited access to prices makes it difficult for decisions to be made based on value, whether the relevant decision-maker is a patient choosing a provider, a doctor prescribing treatments, or a hospital purchasing equipment. Increased price transparency should also incentivize sellers to lower their prices.[11]“Prices for the same services vary substantially within the same geographic area. Yet consumers almost never receive price information before treatment. Price transparency would allow consumers to plan ahead and choose lower-cost providers, which may lead high-cost providers to lower … Continue reading

    A number of public initiatives already make some pricing information available; further policy proposals and private entrepreneurs aim for greater transparency.[12]Calsyn 2014 goes into detail on current public and private initiatives to increase transparency. In short: “Fortunately, policymakers across the political spectrum as well as private-sector entrepreneurs are starting to focus on this issue. More than 30 states now require disclosure of at least … Continue reading

This list is not exhaustive. Our general understanding is that there are many ongoing efforts to change incentives and to address broad cost/quality issues; although we aren’t confident, we suspect that this area may be well covered by existing organizations. For this reason, we are interested in looking into issues which might not be taken care of by efforts to realign incentives or broadly address the cost/quality problem. Below, we outline several issues which we feel may be promising opportunities, but which are somewhat orthogonal to the approaches described above.

  • Changing state scope-of-practice laws to reduce restrictions on nurse practitioners (also known as “advanced practice registered nurses”, or APRNs). Nurse practitioners perform some of the same services as doctors, but are under restrictive regulation in many states.[13]“In many cases, nurse practice acts are unnecessarily restrictive and keep NPs from providing the comprehensive primary care services permitted by their licenses and educational preparation.” Naylor and Kurtzman 2010, Pg 896. Allowing nurse practitioners to contribute more to primary care could be especially beneficial if, as one projection shows, the number of medical students entering internal and family medicine falls while the number of nurse practitioners increases in coming years.[14]“The number of medical students and residents entering primary care or pursuing careers in general internal medicine or family practice is steadily decreasing. However, the nation is benefiting from the relative growth among [nurse practitioners], whose per capita supply is projected to increase … Continue reading Our impression is that the evidence to date indicates that nurse practitioners deliver a similar quality of care to more highly trained doctors in the subset of cases that they handle.[15]Naylor and Kurtzman 2010 is a systematic review of the evidence around nurse practitioners in primary care. “The first randomized trial comparing the two types of practitioners’ outcomes in Canada was published in 1974. Results from that study demonstrated that patient outcomes, including … Continue reading
  • Making state regulations more compatible with one another, to allow health providers to practice across state lines. This may become a more important issue if tele-medicine (diagnosing and treating patients remotely via video and sound connections) becomes more prevalent.
  • Reducing the barriers preventing immigrants to the US with medical backgrounds from practicing, whether by allowing more doctors to immigrate or making it easier for immigrants to use foreign medical certifications in the US.
  • Addressing antitrust issues, including hospital monopolies and barriers to entry in the health care industry.[16]Several sources suggested to us that existing monopolies (exacerbated by hospital consolidations) and barriers to new entrants contributed significantly to high prices charged by hospitals. “A lack of competition among hospitals, often due to consolidation, is also a real issue.” GiveWell’s … Continue reading

We have not investigated these policy proposals thoroughly and are not confident in the likely returns to pursuing them, but we are interested in exploring them further for two main reasons:

  • We would tentatively guess that the overall field of cost/quality reform efforts is fairly crowded, and we think that issues that don’t straightforwardly fit into that framework could possibly be relatively neglected, and therefore relatively more promising.
  • Smaller subfields are typically easier to investigate. If further investigation suggests that these subfields do appear relatively neglected, the broader cost/quality landscape may not be as crowded as we have assumed, and we may want to invest further resources in investigating the whole field.

Further work to advance these proposals would likely take the form of research or political advocacy. A funder could support any of a variety of organizations to advocate for particular policies, develop policy proposals, or research existing health systems.[17]David Cutler suggested to GiveWell that funding for detailed case studies of existing systems was limited. “It is currently difficult to get funding for on-the-ground research projects that examine individual health systems to understand which practices and policies work and which do not. Critics … Continue reading

Who else is working on this?

Health-related causes represent a major target of philanthropic spending; in 2012, US foundations granted more money towards this area than to any other.[18]2012 data from the Foundation Center showed $5.00bn donated towards health, just larger than education at $4.97bn and human services at $3.50bn. FC 1000 Grants, Foundation Center Influencing health policy and increasing access to care makes up a small portion of this total, on the order of several hundred million dollars per year.[19]We found 3 sources which each point to health care policy and access philanthropy of a few hundred million dollars each year. Firstly: 2012 data from the Foundation Center gives a total of $172m for “policy, management and information”. This may not include grants focusing on access, but … Continue reading

Some of the foundations we have come across which work in this space are:

  • Robert Wood Johnson Foundation (RWJF): the largest health foundation in the United States. Policy and access issues account for a sizable minority of their grants.
  • Kaiser Family Foundation: an operating foundation focused on health policy analysis.
  • Commonwealth Fund: supports research on health care issues as well as making grants aiming to improve health care practice and policy.
  • Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation
  • California Wellness Foundation
  • California Endowment
  • Cambia Health Foundation
  • John A. Hartford Foundation
  • Scan Foundation
  • Blue Shield of California Foundation

It is also worth noting that the recent passage of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act has made a significant amount of funding available for local pilots to experiment with new models; one source puts the amount of funding available at over $22 billion.[20]“The ACA authorizes more than $22 billion to support local innovation that tackles the big questions of how to sustain and improve America’s health care system by transforming how health care is paid for and delivered to patients. This investment in experimentation focuses on initiatives that … Continue reading

Questions for further investigation

Our research in this area has been relatively limited, and many important questions remain unanswered by our investigation. Amongst other topics, further research on this cause might address:

  • How successful have previous efforts by philanthropists to influence health care reform been? As part of our history of philanthropy research project, we hope to learn more about the role of different philanthropic actors in the passage of the Affordable Care Act.
  • Which specific strategies are being pursued by the major funders in this field, what do they hope to achieve, and what gaps might remain?
  • What kinds of resources are being directed towards the ideas we list above that are not likely to be solved by changing the overall systemic incentives?

Our process

We rely heavily on a conversation with David Cutler. For general background, we also read the books The Quality Cure by David Cutler and Where Does it Hurt? by Jonathan Bush, as well as the articles Big Med, The Cost Conundrum and Letting Go, written by Atul Gawande and published in the New Yorker.

Sources

DOCUMENT SOURCE
Anderson et al. 2003 Source
Bipartisan Policy Center 2012 Source
Calsyn 2014 Source
Cohen 2010 Source
Cutler 2013 Source
Cutler and Ghosh 2013 Source
Emanuel et al. 2012 Source
FAQ on ACOs, Kaiser Health News Source
FC 1000 Grants, Foundation Center Source
Frequently requested data, OECD Health Statistics 2014 Source
GiveWell’s non-verbatim summary of a conversation with David Cutler on October 17, 2014 Source
Grantmakers in Health 2013 Source
Health Policy and Access Funding: Tips and Tricks, Inside Philanthropy Source
Kroch et al. 2012 Source
Lawrence 2004 Source
Miller 2010 Source
Naylor and Kurtzman 2010 Source
Nelson 2012 Source
Reinhardt, Hussey and Anderson 2004 Source
Richman 2012 Source
Robert Wood Johnson Foundation 2013 Source
The Commonwealth Fund Commission on a High Performing Health System 2013 Source
Total healthcare expenditure, OECD StatExtracts Source
White et al. 2014 Source

Footnotes[+]