This program funds projects that use AI to improve probabilistic forecasting and support sound decision-making. We aim to support the creation of AI models that enhance forecasting accuracy, tools that help with tasks relevant to clear reasoning, and research to understand when models do and do not support truth-oriented reasoning.
Editor’s note: This article was published under our former name, Open Philanthropy. Open Philanthropy program staff often create back-of-the-envelope calculations (BOTECs) as they decide whether to make a grant. This is especially common for areas in our Global Health and Wellbeing (GHW) portfolio. We introduced BOTECs in a recent post:...
If you ask Abel Brodeur about his interest in p-hacking — manipulating data or analysis to get a statistically significant result — he'll be honest with you.
Our Potential Risks from Advanced AI program is now called Navigating Transformative AI. While the vast majority of work we fund is still aimed at catastrophic risk mitigation, the new name better captures the full breadth of what we aim to support: work that helps humanity to successfully navigate the transition to transformative AI.
Many experts predict that leading AI systems will become smarter-than-human in the next decade, but efforts to mitigate the risks remain profoundly underfunded.
Our AI safety strategy has evolved significantly since 2015, moving from early field-building to a comprehensive three-pillar approach: improving visibility into AI capabilities through evaluations and forecasting, developing technical and policy safeguards against catastrophic risks, and building the talent pipeline and institutional capacity the field urgently needs.
Advances in frontier science and technology have historically been the key drivers of massive improvements in human well-being. Safety is sometimes portrayed as just an impediment to that progress, but we believe safety is both itself a key kind of progress and a precondition for ongoing innovation.
Editor’s note: This article was published under our former name, Open Philanthropy. In recent decades, the farm animal welfare movement has improved conditions for hundreds of millions of animals through corporate campaigns. A new case study, commissioned by Open Philanthropy as part of the History of Philanthropy project at...
In early 2025, we launched a request for proposals (RFP) from organizations that fundraise for highly cost-effective charities. We're excited to share the results.
After a competitive process, we have decided to promote Matt to the role of senior program officer to lead our work in the space. His innovation policy grantmaking played a major role in our decision to launch the fund in the first place, and he has shown exceptional judgment in considering new areas for expansion — a key skill needed for this early phase of the Fund.
